The sole reason of the current global financial turmoil is nothing but Greed, Greed and Greed!
The scenario is common all over the world. There was always surplus fund floating in the market, which the banks, finance companies, insurance companies, mutual funds and investment banking companies were vying for. Their marketing team took unwieldy pay package to pull in as much money as possible into their system. Though the governing bodies didn’t allow them to promote their products without properly educating the investors about the potential risk, the greedy marketers always kept it forbidden, leaving the investor to read it leisurely after the damage has been done.
But then, the people greedy at seeing their friends, relatives and colleagues earn ransom investing in real estates, share markets, mutual funds and other high risk zones, played themselves in. When the economy surged ahead, they failed to realize that it is all because of the excessive fund they floated into the system.
Then what triggers them all? Well, it is the Sub-prime crisis, that was revealed last year did trigger this year-long onslaught on the global economy. Sub-prime lending is nothing but offering loan or credit facility at higher interest rates to those who don’t deserve it based on their financial status, income level, credit history and the size of the down payment made,… The financial institutions indulged in this sort, partly because they had no option with the money they generated through their greedy marketers and partly for it had the potential to earn much more interest than lending to genuine candidates. Greedy again – isn’t it? But before one can start taking notice, the defaulters rose heavily and exposed the economy into bad light.
When the sub-prime crisis was brought up, every government in the world was aware of what was going to happen. Instead of busting the balloon there, they opted to blow it by giving wrong indications to the investors and pushing the share markets into phenomenal uptrends. They wanted to buy time to sort out, but unfortunately, they themselves were not aware of the number of greedy hawks with different plans.
With the bubble ready to burst, few more greedy people wished to play their part. The crude prices started skyrocketting suddenly taking cues from the middle-east crisis and rising chinese demand. But then it took an U-turn indicating that the US demand has fallen. Unbelievable!!!
With the equity markets started to travel southwards, the creeping crude rates pulled the attention of the failing financial institutions and analysts. They saw an oppurtunity to make amends but then it was nothing but a trap that is seeing a lot of bankers being gulped in and forced to file bankruptcy.
Indian Scenario:
The indian scenario is nothing different. The banks spent most of their money into building their brand image which is not so necessary and were making hefty profits with the help of high interest rates and other charges levied on the consumers.
Fate of Icici Bank:
As the old saying goes, “There’s no smoke without fire”, and there is definitely something cooking up at the India’s biggest private bank. The bank should have announced a buy-back offer when their stocks plummeted in the market to keep the investors sentiments positive.
It is true that the bank has big exposure to international markets and in sub prime lending, still it is very negligible compared to its balance sheet. Their business strategy of aggressive lending domestically helped a lot for the cause of various business growth in India. But then when overseas loss was making holes in their financial statement, panic was triggered and as a result their genuine depositors started withdrawing their money leaving the system high and dry. Who is to be blamed - the People or the Bank?
Their share prices have fallen steeply as a result and this definitely will invite a lot of hostile takeover bids to acquire the bank with huge infrastructure. Because after one level they will not be able to withstand pressure. Will the pressure rise beyond this? Yes, definitely. With some IT companies planning to chop off heads, the banks will again face the heat as the quantum of loans provided to the IT, BPO and Bank employees (they possess good credit history) were so high. Unless some miracle happens, it is going to get tougher for the banks.
And regarding the share market – Well… It will definitely bounce back, but not so quickly this time. As long as greed is there the markets will live thrive!
Please note that this blog is not suggesting or advocating any view that ICICI bank is heading towards bankruptcy. But, I am emphasising again that the depositors are creating the trouble by withdrawing their money thereby putting the bank into tight corner. In addition to that the speculators in share markets are also not helping to its cause. I myself hold an account with ICICI Bank and I haven't cleaned it off yet as I am in no hurry for the banking system in India protects the depositors very well. I also urge other depositors to stand by the bank that provides the best of the service and create good value for its investors.
Breaking News: The RBI has once again given clean chit after inspecting ICICI bank and its UK subsidiary.