Posted on: Mar 10, '09
It is time for the next Lok Sabha Elections to elect a new government
My dear friends,
Voting is our fundamental right & never ever forget to cast your precious votes this time. As our majority of educated, elite and professionals excuse themselves from voting that day to enjoy a full fledged holiday. Ultimate result is lesser % of votes and all the parties have their field day by bogus voting to win by hook or crook.
We are the ultimate suffers for the rest of the 5 year term for abstaining from casting our votes. Can we afford such pathetic scenes?
It is time for the next Lok Sabha Elections to elect a new government by our vast electoral collage. If we look back the way the existing 14th Lok Sabha completed the term with so much twists and turns. It witnessed the parting of ways of the Congress and its leftist allies of convenience, a development that almost brought down the Central Government and created the conditions for its premature end. Such a possibility had arisen at a crucial phase of global economic and political crisis and might have proved disastrous for India’s future. Fortunately, a make-shift arrangement had been worked out and a democratic Government had remained at the helm to steer the nation through choppy waters.
However, the manner in which some of the proceedings of the 14" Lok Sabha were conducted, as well as the behaviour of some of the members in the august House, does not deserve similar encomiums. Scandals such as the “cash for questions” have done much to sully the stature of Parliament, as also the fact that some members have criminal cases pending against them. Nowadays, the proceedings on the floor of the House are telecast live. This gives the people of the nation an opportunity to witness the manner in which our elected representatives behave. The universal response is one of dismay.
No doubt Manmohan Singh has been the right man at the right job during a critical period, yet he himself is responsible for one such anomaly. As rightly pointed out by the Opposition, Singh had completed five years as PM, without being directly elected by the people. The conclusion of the 14th Lok Sabha having marked the end of a chapter, the people of India are being invested with yet another opportunity to determine the composition of the next Lok Sabha. Only if they make judicious use of this opportunity can we expect a new and better chapter to unfold.
It will be interesting to watch what is now in store for the voters for the five yearly democratic practices. With the announcement of dates for general elections now all parties are looking for new electoral alliances, calculating the previous losses and gains, Third front formations by those 8 parties like CPI, CPI-M, Forward Bloc, RPI, TDP, TRS, AIADMK and JDS. The question that looms large is whether UPA would be able to manage another term in the Parliament or the rival group NDA comes back to the power. What if both UPA and NDA fail to form a government? Will it be a new alliance with the Third Front at the epicenter? Etc.,
It would be even more interesting to see what political alliances would emerge if the country gets a hung Parliament.
How ever it is the duty of every citizen to exercise their rights to vote for a candidate who can do justice to his/ her commitment to serve the nation instead of parties affiliated. Our duty is to elect members whose criminal free back ground and the person of integrity.
Shall we do it is the million $ question lingers in all our minds now.
Let us analyze the present formations of Congress led UPA, BJP led NDA and Third front.
Mayawati led BSP may pose challenges to Congress fortunes in many northern states like UP, Delhi, Rajasthan, MP as it has its own backward classes voters backing up.
Mamta Bannerjee led Trinamool congress has now entered up an electoral alliance with Congress at WB where it is set to trim down the progress of CPM, CPI, RPI chances.
Chiranjivi led Praja rajyam is to set all calculations of Congress and TDP by cutting across voters preferences for an alternate. Telengana issue is going to reflect the pattern of voting splits in Congress led UPA. BJP may gain a few seats in AP now. TDP and Communists spoil chances of Congress to get their majority seats.
Tamilnadu will have a chance to see that AIADMK gain few seats more than that of last election flat rejections by voters. Sri Lankan Issue will dominate the down south voters there by chances for Vaiko’s MDMK, Vijaikanth’s DMDK looks better. Congress is at the mercy of DMK again as usual. This election will see a change in forming the next central government due to new post poll alliances.
Uttar Predesh will be the litmus test for all the parties as every one has their stake at the mercy of voters. SP, Congress on one side, BSP, Communists on the other side, BJP and its allies will make us wonder to watch.
Orissa in spite of spate of communal clashes will support Navin Patnaik’s BJD due to his personal and his government’s performances to uplift the economy of Orissa.
The recent break up of relationships with BJP may cause some major damages to his reputations due to which BJP may gain its due share. Congress may get few seats this time in certain tribal belts.
M.P, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Karnataka, Himachal, Chatisgarh will be the major gains for BJP to let them have a say in National politics and formation of central government.
Kerala may witness a tussle between Communists and Congress to share the seats.
North East as usual will be a boon to Congress as it is a traditional base for them except a few seats in Assam.
J and K this time will share their seats within Congress and Abdulla’s NC and BJP may gain few seats for the first time here.
Bihar will witness sharing seats for Nitish Kumar’s JD, Lallu’s RJD, Ram Vilas Paswan’s LJD.
By and large it is now Maharastra to set the decider in formation of Central Government as there is some new formations of seat sharing within Pawar’s NCP and Congress, Shiv sena’s dilemmas with local parties alliances may spoil chances for BJP. BJP on its own may win few seats due to its significant voters base.
As usual when it comes to hung parliament it is going to be a bonanza for Karunanidhi, Lallu, Jayalalithaa, Mamata Bannerjee, Chandrababu Naidu, TRS, Paswan, Pawar and if need be even Mayawati, swinging to its side to set the new government to their favour.
Let us teach a lesson to those corrupt political leaders and officials by electing the candidates with merit irrespective of their political affliations.
Jai Hind.
Subbu
Tags: politics: elections: voters to think:nation: thoughts to share
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